Obligatory Saturday Horse Shit
Published by BG on Saturday, February 04, 2006 at 7:05 AM.
Obligatory Saturday Horse Shit
That's what I get for not checking the weather... Tampa, FL got eight inches of rain yesterday, with the promise of more today. As a matter of fact, the storms were so bad that they cancelled the card. Gulfstream (Hallandale, FL) also got drenched, with expectations of heavy thunderstorms today too.
I suck at off-track handicapping. You've gotta know your weaknesses, and that's a big one for me. I'm likely to play a bit at Tampa anyway, but I may as well just light dollar bills on fire for what good it's going to do me. I may bet at Santa Anita, which kicks off in the 3PM EST neighborhood, and hopefully it ain't rainin' in SoCal today.
Anyway, some quick picks - For the love of god steer clear of these today:
TAMPA
1) #1 Aliflash (I like early speed in sprints on off tracks. This sounds dumb, but that's only based on the theory that horses running behind other horses don't like having mud kicked in their faces. No, I'm not kidding.)
2) #6 Tour a Lurah (Not much I like here, really. He's 9-16 in the money lifetime though)
3) #7 Secret Fantasy (Stalker in a route, improving. Trainer 25% returning a winner after a win)
4) #3 Preceptor (Unchallenged pace, best Beyers over last three, has improved his stamina)
5) Turf race likely to move to the sloppy-ass dirt. Ugh. Look at the "Also Eligible" list for clues.
6) #4 Act Natural (Last out sucked, previous three would be plenty here. No speed inside her either, should find a spot and settle up close)
7) Turf, see above
8) #10 Excellerant (No way you can bet against her here)
9) Turf
10) #8 Platinum Perfect (Ready to improve, has historically taken a step forward with 2nd off angle. I like #12 Ebony Breeze marginally better, but she'll go off close to even money. Here's your value.)
11) #1 La Rochelle (Flashed early speed in first and only race, comes out of classier circuit at Churchill. Solid workouts, should be up there on a fairly hot pace.)
That's what I get for not checking the weather... Tampa, FL got eight inches of rain yesterday, with the promise of more today. As a matter of fact, the storms were so bad that they cancelled the card. Gulfstream (Hallandale, FL) also got drenched, with expectations of heavy thunderstorms today too.
I suck at off-track handicapping. You've gotta know your weaknesses, and that's a big one for me. I'm likely to play a bit at Tampa anyway, but I may as well just light dollar bills on fire for what good it's going to do me. I may bet at Santa Anita, which kicks off in the 3PM EST neighborhood, and hopefully it ain't rainin' in SoCal today.
Anyway, some quick picks - For the love of god steer clear of these today:
TAMPA
1) #1 Aliflash (I like early speed in sprints on off tracks. This sounds dumb, but that's only based on the theory that horses running behind other horses don't like having mud kicked in their faces. No, I'm not kidding.)
2) #6 Tour a Lurah (Not much I like here, really. He's 9-16 in the money lifetime though)
3) #7 Secret Fantasy (Stalker in a route, improving. Trainer 25% returning a winner after a win)
4) #3 Preceptor (Unchallenged pace, best Beyers over last three, has improved his stamina)
5) Turf race likely to move to the sloppy-ass dirt. Ugh. Look at the "Also Eligible" list for clues.
6) #4 Act Natural (Last out sucked, previous three would be plenty here. No speed inside her either, should find a spot and settle up close)
7) Turf, see above
8) #10 Excellerant (No way you can bet against her here)
9) Turf
10) #8 Platinum Perfect (Ready to improve, has historically taken a step forward with 2nd off angle. I like #12 Ebony Breeze marginally better, but she'll go off close to even money. Here's your value.)
11) #1 La Rochelle (Flashed early speed in first and only race, comes out of classier circuit at Churchill. Solid workouts, should be up there on a fairly hot pace.)
