Tuesday Tampa Test
Published by BG on Tuesday, February 21, 2006 at 12:15 PM.
Tuesday Tampa Test
It's been awhile since I trotted CompuTrak out for a spin, but today we'll take a different angle with CT.
BrisNet offers a free handicapping software called "All-Ways," and were kind enough to kick three free race files my way for February. The software processes reports on a variety of angles, and they're pretty daunting to look at. While I'm not confident I "figured out" the proper way to use the program, I did find the "Oddsline" report, which hopefully gives me the output needed to identify the appropriate odds on today's card.
So it's CompuTrak versus All-Ways in a steel cage match. Here's the rundown:
· Race One - #9 Run Runaway gets 2/1 love from AW (4/1 on the morning line), with #8 Tokyo Tour behind at 4/1 (5/1 on the ML). CompuTrak declines to give a "CT Pick," but also identifies #8 as a 7/2 play and #9 as a 4/1.
Result: Both hit #9 and #8, I played the exacta hitting for $30 when #9 made a good move from six lengths off around the final turn to pass the #8 and #5. AW actually produced the trifecta with the top three choices 9/8/5 from their oddsline. Hmm...
· Race Two - AW likes #10 Diamond Fire at 2/1 (6/1 on the ML), and #3 Windy Village at 5/2 (7/2 ML). CT wants you to look at #6 Misty Storm at 9/2 (15/1 ML), but AW puts her on the "Dangerous Non-Contender" list, whatever that means. CT likes #10 at 6.5/1.
AW's third choice #12 took it, with #9 and #11 coming up for place and show. I had $12 on win bets and an exacta/trifecta attempt. Took the doughnut in this one.
· Race Three - AW really likes #5 Sea Doctor at 4/5 odds (5/2 ML), while CT disagrees with #8 Boston Raider at 6/5 (7/2 ML). AW does like #8 at 9/2 though.
#8 nowhere to be found after a rough start bounced him too far outside to get back into contention. #5 was beaten by AW's third choice, #9. Another ofer here.
· Race Four - Major disagreement here as AW takes #6 Right Quick (6/1 ML) and drops him on the "Dangerous Non-Contender (DNC)" list, while CT makes him the first CT Pick of the day (with a 3/1 projected oddsline). AW likes #8 Honest Chance at 2/1 (5/2 ML), and #5 Montford Ridge at 3/1 (2/1 ML). CT doesn't disagree much on #8, giving him 9/2 love.
So close. Had the #6, #7, #8 in exactas and trifectas, and I missed cashing the exacta when #3 passed #6 in the final strides to come in second. #6 and #8 rounded out the top tier. So close.
· Race Five - Strong Spot Play - I'm going to assume that any time the two software handicappers agree that we're in good shape to make a play. Let's jump all over #4 Sweet Hello, who AW likes at 4/5 and CT at 8/5 (ML 5/2). #6 is another AW play at 3/1 (6/1 ML).
Way off. #4 wasn't a factor, laid way too far off the pace and couldn't get up at the end. #6 was out of the money too.
· Race Six - AW likes #10 I'm A Goer at 5/2 (7/2 ML), but CT is willing to step out on a limb and make #8 Big OUt (6/1 ML) and #9 Charismatic Rob (10/1 ML) the co-CT Picks. The oddsline for both in CT were in the 6/1 neighborhood, so buyer beware. AW backs up the #10 with #2 King Cassia at 3/1 (5/2 ML).
#10 went off at 2/1, so I skipped him and he won. I played the dual CT Picks of #8 and #9 to no avail. At least I went cheap.
· Race Seven - Strong Spot Play - All #8 Call Me Glitter at 6/1 on the ML for both AW and CT. They both like her at 3/2, and who am I to disagree?
It's officially a hemmorhage today, with #8 refusing to fire when asked in the stretch. She got passed about six times on her way to the back after an opening 22.47 quarter. You'd think that'd be slow enough for her stalking trip to leave her some juice, but apparently not. Had a WP bet and a pick four with her singled, all to shit. Whee!
· Race Eight - Strong Spot Play - Another agreement between the two, with #3 Classic Fran getting 9/5 love (3/1 ML) from AW and a 3/1 line in CT with the coveted CT Pick status. AW also likes #8 Divine Wonder at 9/2, which might be a nice score if she runs out from under her 12/1 ML.
#1 had the classic ground saving trip from the post and managed to squeeze between a pack of four and pull away for an easy win. #4 edged a pack of three or four to come in second and the #8 was nowhere to be found. Another miss, as the #1 went off at 3/2.
· Race Nine - #5 Sea Salt Run has another under-even money endorsement from AW at 3/5 (5/2 ML). CT doesn't like him as much as #1 Our Manuscript, which is a 3/1 play (7/2 ML) and the CT Pick. #7 Matchless Ability is the next choice for both, but both give odds higher than the ML of 3/1.
#4 got out real frisky and had the field by six going into the final turn of the sprint. #5 (who I had keyed with 1/2/7 in an exacta) stayed close, but couldn't get there. #7 made his move in the final turn and blew by #4 in the final strides. I can't quit missing races today, I swear to god.
· Race Ten - More agreement here, although no CT Pick in the race. #8 Milky Way Guy is 5/2 on the ML, 5/2 in AW, and a ringing endorsement of 6/5 via CT. Not a whole lot else to look at, except maybe #5 Hitthegroundrunnin, who is 6/1 on the ML and 5/2 via CT.
#2 and #4 a neck apart - #4 Atticus Kristy set a track record of :55 flat edging #2 Western Kind for the win. Great race for both, but when are you going to see another 5F turf duel? Stupid computers, stupid software...
I'll keep an eye on the card today, and we'll see how good the robots can be.
It's been awhile since I trotted CompuTrak out for a spin, but today we'll take a different angle with CT.
BrisNet offers a free handicapping software called "All-Ways," and were kind enough to kick three free race files my way for February. The software processes reports on a variety of angles, and they're pretty daunting to look at. While I'm not confident I "figured out" the proper way to use the program, I did find the "Oddsline" report, which hopefully gives me the output needed to identify the appropriate odds on today's card.
So it's CompuTrak versus All-Ways in a steel cage match. Here's the rundown:
· Race One - #9 Run Runaway gets 2/1 love from AW (4/1 on the morning line), with #8 Tokyo Tour behind at 4/1 (5/1 on the ML). CompuTrak declines to give a "CT Pick," but also identifies #8 as a 7/2 play and #9 as a 4/1.
Result: Both hit #9 and #8, I played the exacta hitting for $30 when #9 made a good move from six lengths off around the final turn to pass the #8 and #5. AW actually produced the trifecta with the top three choices 9/8/5 from their oddsline. Hmm...
· Race Two - AW likes #10 Diamond Fire at 2/1 (6/1 on the ML), and #3 Windy Village at 5/2 (7/2 ML). CT wants you to look at #6 Misty Storm at 9/2 (15/1 ML), but AW puts her on the "Dangerous Non-Contender" list, whatever that means. CT likes #10 at 6.5/1.
AW's third choice #12 took it, with #9 and #11 coming up for place and show. I had $12 on win bets and an exacta/trifecta attempt. Took the doughnut in this one.
· Race Three - AW really likes #5 Sea Doctor at 4/5 odds (5/2 ML), while CT disagrees with #8 Boston Raider at 6/5 (7/2 ML). AW does like #8 at 9/2 though.
#8 nowhere to be found after a rough start bounced him too far outside to get back into contention. #5 was beaten by AW's third choice, #9. Another ofer here.
· Race Four - Major disagreement here as AW takes #6 Right Quick (6/1 ML) and drops him on the "Dangerous Non-Contender (DNC)" list, while CT makes him the first CT Pick of the day (with a 3/1 projected oddsline). AW likes #8 Honest Chance at 2/1 (5/2 ML), and #5 Montford Ridge at 3/1 (2/1 ML). CT doesn't disagree much on #8, giving him 9/2 love.
So close. Had the #6, #7, #8 in exactas and trifectas, and I missed cashing the exacta when #3 passed #6 in the final strides to come in second. #6 and #8 rounded out the top tier. So close.
· Race Five - Strong Spot Play - I'm going to assume that any time the two software handicappers agree that we're in good shape to make a play. Let's jump all over #4 Sweet Hello, who AW likes at 4/5 and CT at 8/5 (ML 5/2). #6 is another AW play at 3/1 (6/1 ML).
Way off. #4 wasn't a factor, laid way too far off the pace and couldn't get up at the end. #6 was out of the money too.
· Race Six - AW likes #10 I'm A Goer at 5/2 (7/2 ML), but CT is willing to step out on a limb and make #8 Big OUt (6/1 ML) and #9 Charismatic Rob (10/1 ML) the co-CT Picks. The oddsline for both in CT were in the 6/1 neighborhood, so buyer beware. AW backs up the #10 with #2 King Cassia at 3/1 (5/2 ML).
#10 went off at 2/1, so I skipped him and he won. I played the dual CT Picks of #8 and #9 to no avail. At least I went cheap.
· Race Seven - Strong Spot Play - All #8 Call Me Glitter at 6/1 on the ML for both AW and CT. They both like her at 3/2, and who am I to disagree?
It's officially a hemmorhage today, with #8 refusing to fire when asked in the stretch. She got passed about six times on her way to the back after an opening 22.47 quarter. You'd think that'd be slow enough for her stalking trip to leave her some juice, but apparently not. Had a WP bet and a pick four with her singled, all to shit. Whee!
· Race Eight - Strong Spot Play - Another agreement between the two, with #3 Classic Fran getting 9/5 love (3/1 ML) from AW and a 3/1 line in CT with the coveted CT Pick status. AW also likes #8 Divine Wonder at 9/2, which might be a nice score if she runs out from under her 12/1 ML.
#1 had the classic ground saving trip from the post and managed to squeeze between a pack of four and pull away for an easy win. #4 edged a pack of three or four to come in second and the #8 was nowhere to be found. Another miss, as the #1 went off at 3/2.
· Race Nine - #5 Sea Salt Run has another under-even money endorsement from AW at 3/5 (5/2 ML). CT doesn't like him as much as #1 Our Manuscript, which is a 3/1 play (7/2 ML) and the CT Pick. #7 Matchless Ability is the next choice for both, but both give odds higher than the ML of 3/1.
#4 got out real frisky and had the field by six going into the final turn of the sprint. #5 (who I had keyed with 1/2/7 in an exacta) stayed close, but couldn't get there. #7 made his move in the final turn and blew by #4 in the final strides. I can't quit missing races today, I swear to god.
· Race Ten - More agreement here, although no CT Pick in the race. #8 Milky Way Guy is 5/2 on the ML, 5/2 in AW, and a ringing endorsement of 6/5 via CT. Not a whole lot else to look at, except maybe #5 Hitthegroundrunnin, who is 6/1 on the ML and 5/2 via CT.
#2 and #4 a neck apart - #4 Atticus Kristy set a track record of :55 flat edging #2 Western Kind for the win. Great race for both, but when are you going to see another 5F turf duel? Stupid computers, stupid software...
I'll keep an eye on the card today, and we'll see how good the robots can be.
